Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.316177 4.256411e-01 0.553026 0.709846 0.895337 1.105475 1.359215
2025-11-16 0.179765 3.105759e-01 0.487481 0.733062 1.054110 1.449084 1.960931
2025-11-23 0.095358 2.204252e-01 0.419197 0.728766 1.170468 1.751570 2.546567
2025-11-30 0.057301 1.777796e-01 0.400051 0.780834 1.361840 2.164224 3.303946
2025-12-07 0.032030 1.402191e-01 0.373960 0.812663 1.523518 2.546864 4.046313
2025-12-14 0.015850 1.068622e-01 0.341149 0.822983 1.649166 2.883994 4.743305
2025-12-21 0.006223 7.680719e-02 0.300512 0.807622 1.727765 3.153547 5.355885
2025-12-28 0.002337 5.917513e-02 0.279075 0.821244 1.851404 3.493602 6.080499
2026-01-04 0.000576 4.399402e-02 0.254967 0.822436 1.950643 3.798476 6.763222
2026-01-11 0.000030 2.945449e-02 0.221670 0.794413 1.991939 4.011348 7.314832
2026-01-18 NaN 1.956008e-02 0.195089 0.773728 2.041727 4.237047 7.890556
2026-01-25 NaN 1.390886e-02 0.180139 0.777222 2.136151 4.538100 8.588966
2026-02-01 NaN 8.035731e-03 0.154752 0.747170 2.163236 4.732304 9.137020
2026-02-08 NaN 6.290141e-03 0.153118 0.784084 2.330401 5.172415 10.084712
2026-02-15 NaN 3.960081e-03 0.140997 0.786219 2.424307 5.489773 10.847628
2026-02-22 NaN 3.451974e-03 0.146247 0.844682 2.643407 6.033795 11.985723
2026-03-01 NaN 2.581926e-03 0.144657 0.880197 2.814477 6.498509 13.007044
2026-03-08 NaN 1.599790e-03 0.136755 0.892094 2.933548 6.874315 13.893175
2026-03-15 NaN 7.228525e-04 0.122399 0.876341 2.987991 7.134967 14.597466
2026-03-22 NaN 3.812404e-04 0.116632 0.891021 3.113121 7.527413 15.525196
2026-03-29 NaN 1.456168e-04 0.108226 0.892416 3.206242 7.863009 16.364954
2026-04-05 NaN 1.718162e-05 0.093800 0.862808 3.221413 8.053366 16.966840
2026-04-12 NaN 5.418154e-08 0.082325 0.840924 3.252542 8.273373 17.621638